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Musculoskeletal (MSK) pain conditions are a leading cause of pain and disability internationally and a common reason to seek health care. Accurate prediction of recurrence for health care seeking due to MSK conditions could allow for better tailoring of treatment. The aim of this project was to characterize patterns of recurrent physical therapy seeking for MSK pain conditions and to develop a preliminary prediction model to identify those at increased risk for recurrent care seeking. Retrospective cohort. Ambulatory care. Patients (n = 5