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The model was well calibrated. Overall, discrimination was poor (c = 0.53, 95 % confidence interval (CI) 0.52-0.54). For predicting SA 90 days, discrimination as measured by AUC was 0.63 (95 % CI 0.61-0.65), for 180 days, 0.69 (95 % CI 0.65-0.71), and for SA 365 days, AUC was 0.75 (95 % CI 0.72-0.78). It was possible to predict patients at risk of long-term SA ( 180 days) with acceptable precision. However, the prediction of duration of SA spells due to knee osteoarthritis has room for improvement. 180 days) with accep
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