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One model predicted one-year death together with various other three-year mortality. Model discrimination according to the c-statistic for the models ended up being 0.71 (95% CI 0.71-0.72) and 0.72 (95% CI 0.72-0.73), correspondingly. SUMMARY both designs show appropriate capability to predict death. A significant advantage would be that they are easy to apply in everyday practise and so are great for specific decision-making regarding diagnostic/therapeutic inter